TriggerFinger


Excuse me while I call BS


RedStateThe point is this: One or two statistically impossible outcomes is theoretical. In this election, Democrats with a sub 40% enthusiasm level for their candidate, were able to erase gains in states Trump won, erase registration advantages, turnout record voters, and beat their 2016 turnouts by 20 and 30%? It doesn’t add up. I get people being mad at Trump. Give Dems a 3 or 4 point uptick in their 2016 numbers. 10 and 12 points? Nope. I call BS.

The same author has a follow-up looking closely at Wisconsin. Comparing Biden's turnout performance to Obama, there are just a few counties where Biden miraculously improved on Obama's turnout numbers by double digit percentages (20% in at least one case). But in most other counties, Biden underperformed compared to Obama's turnout.

RedStateWhat’s the point of all this? Trump’s data follows a natural and reasonable distribution. Where Trump did better, he did better than Romney almost as a rule. When Biden did better, he did better than Clinton in every county, which is to be expected, but still lagged over Obama in the majority of counties, many bordering these massive growth counties. If I were the Trump campaign, I would be looking at each of these counties with a magnifying glass. In totality, in those five counties, Biden beat Obama by 83,291 votes, in a state where Biden beat Trump by just 20,000 votes. Am I saying it is 100% fraud? Without being able to be inside the offices in each of these counties, I cannot, but what I am saying is the statistical nature of this forensic vote audit shows that these 5 counties didn’t just buck the trend, they bucked it by double-digit percentages. That… That is what requires some additional review.

Update: A reader asked about the total turnout in these 5 counties. The state is 92% total turnout. The 5 counties are Washington at 96.6%, St. Croix at 96%(95.99%), Dane at 90.38%, Waukesha at 94.56% and, Ozaukee at 94.96%.

95% turnout is absurd.

This entry was published Sun Nov 15 10:29:26 CST 2020 by TriggerFinger and last updated 2020-11-10 04:43:25.0. [Tweet]

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