Scott Walker thinks the nomination will go to someone not running
Here's the thing. If the convention opens with no single candidate having 1237 votes (a clear majority rather than simply a plurality), then by the rules in place now the delegates are unbound and the negotiations in smoke-filled back rooms start to choose the nominee. That's been the rule for a long time, and it makes sense.
What makes less sense is the noise that various party insiders have been making about choosing to nominate someone in that case who isn't even running presently.
It's hard to see that as anything but a slap in the face to voters who supported Trump and Cruz. Right now, it's still possible for either of them to win the nomination outright. If neither does, the likely course is for both of them to be within a few hundred delegates of the magic 1237 number without either reaching it. It will be, in other words, a close race with two clear top candidates and a couple small fry with just a few delegates hanging on. In such a scenario, either Trump or Cruz could reasonably form an alliance or make a principled case for their nomination to the unbound delegates and obtain a majority vote. Either one would be acceptable in their scenario.
But if the party then tosses the nomination to someone who wasn't even running -- let's say Mitt Romney -- that would represent a complete betrayal of everyone who participated in the primary campaign. Whether it's by running, or donating, or volunteering, or simply voting... if the party substitutes someone at the last minute just because they don't like either of the candidates their own party's voters chose, I think the people will abandon the Republican party utterly. Look for a third party to appear or suddenly rise to prominence in the next election cycle.
And yes, that will likely throw the election to Clinton, with disastrous consequences. That's what happens when a party decides they should rule rather than represent.
This entry was published Sat Mar 26 12:19:16 CDT 2016 by TriggerFinger
and last updated 2016-03-26 12:19:16.0.