Florida: Trump (by about 18% over Rubio, Cruz at 17%)
Illinois: Trump (by 9% over Cruz)
Missouri: Cruz and Trump both at 40% and change. Trump is leading by fractional percentages. Not sure if this has been called yet.
North Carolina: Trump by about 3% over Cruz.
Ohio: Kasich by about 10% over Trump. Cruz at 13%. Rubio at 2%.
Some Island Somewhere: Trump by 72%, Cruz at 24%.
Rubio announced that after losing Florida, he was dropping out
Kasich, on the other hand, is determined to stay in and hope he gets a VP slot at the convention in trade for whatever delegates he manages to scrape up.
I think, at this point, the only thing we're learning is that the Establishment hates Cruz too much to unite behind him even if it means they get Trump. They can deal with Trump. He'll be disruptive and insane and likely doesn't give a damn about fidelity to the Constitution -- but neither do they
, so from their perspective that will work out just fine. And he might lose to Hillary, in which case he goes away and the Republican Establishment remains in power for the next 4-8 years. They'll have almost as much fun pretending to resist Hillary as they had pretending to resist Barack.
With Rubio out and Kasich's impact being minimal so far outside of Ohio, the remaining races are close to head-to-head. Cruz is behind in delegate counts, but he usually beats Trump in head-to-head matchups.
Rumor is that Mitch McConnel, Senate Majority Leader, is demanding that Cruz come to
kiss his ring apologize for calling Mitch a liar
after Mitch lied to get his vote on the TPP (Trade-something-something treaty vote).
Sorry, Mitch. You lied. Cruz has integrity. I could see Cruz trying to mend some bridges with you, because that's what statesmen do. But Mitch, you did lie to him and to your fellow Senators and to the American people to pass that legislation. You don't deserve an apology from a man with integrity. You owe
Cruz and everyone else you lied to an apology instead. Not that we'll get one.
The road to the nomination for Cruz got longer today, but with Rubio left on the side it will also get a bit easier.
And Trump appears to be threatening riots
if he doesn't get the nomination despite a plurality of delegates. Note that the rules say he needs a majority, and if he only gets a plurality, the smoke-filled rooms start. I think how big a deal this is is going to depend a lot on how close the race is when it gets to the convention. If it's close, without a majority candidate, that's one thing. If Trump is dominating the delegate count by then, that's different.
We're looking at one of the longest and most bizarre Republican primaries in my experience.